I have always believed that guns in the hands of good men, keep families, society and nations free and stable. When a bad man holds the gun, it is to kill out of hatred of his own life and those of his victims. The victims can be pulled from a list of many categories including but not limited to people of different racial descent from him , different Political ideology, religious beliefs, financial interests and family differences. Of these the most deadly and without repentance or likely redemption are those motivated by Ethnic, racial and religious motives. When such get into power,as in the case of Nigeria today, that nation starts on its way to weakening first, slides further into failed state before it collapses totally.
To be more convincing, Experts in the US, have in the month of May this year come to the far reaching, absolute conviction, that Nigeria, one of the most populous nations of Africa is in her final stages of collapse having failed within the last three years. Since President Buhari, of APC came to power in 2015, Nigeria started the descent into failure as a State, and with the poor management that prevails in the country, it is determined to collapse! While some in the Nigerian media think that Nigeria has not failed as a state, but has only failed to deliver the dividends of good democratic governance , what they have failed to accept is that radical Islam has taken over over 30 percent of the country as we write . There are over 5 Separatist Movements in the Country today.
Nigeria will under the President Buhari, whose actual state of living is increasingly becoming a subject of much theories and subterfuge today. While some say that Muhammadu Buhari who won the 2015 Elections died and was buried in Saudi Arabia in February 2017, with leaked video clips on the social media, some say it is a hollow charge, or postulation. Yet, a close observation of the images of Buhari since 2018, have shown about 6 different faces. This may account for the continued slide of what was once the giant of Africa into imminent collapse. The deception may well be ultra all. Here is the detail of a report by experts on Nigeria, and how it is on her last stages to becoming a collapsed State.
The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), and the Harvard Kennedy School in the United States, have said that Nigeria as a nation, is at a point of no return haven showed all the signs of a failed nation.
The organisation which made the disclosure in a research finding it released through its senior fellow and former US Ambassador to Nigeria, John Campbell and Mr Robert Rotberg, who is the founding director, Harvard Kennedy School’s Programme on Intrastate Conflict and president emeritus, World Peace Foundation, said Nigeria is currently in its final phase, from which it would eventually collapse.
The organisation said their position was not based on emotion or the fancy of using pejorative words to described the situation, but on “a body of political theory developed at the turn of this century and elaborated upon, case by case, ever since.”
Its report said Nigeria has since moved from being a weak state to “a fully failed state,” having manifested all the signs of a failed country, including the inability of government to protect the citizens, large scale violence and festering insurgency.
According to them, President Muhammadu Buhari admitting that the Federal Government has lost control of the situation is the first step towards the restoration of stability. The duo warned that Nigeria’s failure as a state comes with negative consequences for peace and security in West Africa sub-region as well as Europe and the US.
“Nigeria has long teetered on the precipice of failure. But now, unable to keep its citizens safe and secure, Nigeria has become a fully failed state of critical geopolitical concern.
“Its failure matters because the peace and prosperity of Africa and preventing the spread of disorder and militancy around the globe depend on a stronger Nigeria.
“Its economy is usually estimated to be Africa’s largest or second largest, after South Africa. Long West Africa’s hegemon, Nigeria played a positive role in promoting African peace and security.
“With state failure, it can no longer sustain that vocation, and no replacement is in sight. Its security challenges are already destabilising the West African region in the face of resurgent jihadism, making the battles of the Sahel that much more difficult to contain.
“And spillover from Nigeria’s failures ultimately affect the security of Europe and the United States.
“Indeed, thoughtful Nigerians over the past decade have debated, often fervently, whether their state has failed. Increasingly, their consensus is that it has,” the report published on foreignpolicy(dot)com on Thursday, said.
The report further says, “There are four kinds of nations: the strong, the weak, the failed, and the collapsed.
“According to previously published research estimates, of the 193 members of the United Nations, 60 or 70 are strong—the nations that rank highest in the listings of Freedom House, the human rights reports of the U. S. State Department, the anticorruption perception indices of Transparency International, and so on.
“There are three places that should be considered collapsed: Somalia, South Sudan, and Yemen.
“Eighty or 90 U.N. members are weak. Weakness consists of providing many, but not all, of essential public goods, the most important of which are security and safety. If citizens are not secure from harm within national borders, governments cannot deliver good governance (the essential services that citizens expect) to their constituents.
“Possibly a dozen or so states are failed, including the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Central African Republic, and Myanmar. Each lacks security, is unsafe, has weak rules of law, is corrupt, limits political participation and voice, discriminates within its borders against various classes and kinds of citizens, and provides educational and medical services sparingly. Most of all, failed states are violent.
“All failed states harbor some form of violent internal strife, such as civil war or insurgency. Nigeria now confronts six or more internal insurrections and the inability of the Nigerian state to provide peace and stability to its people has tipped a hitherto very weak state into failure.
“According to political theory, the government’s inability to thwart the Boko Haram insurgency is enough to diagnose Nigeria as a failed state. But there are many more symptoms. At a bare minimum, citizens expect their states to keep them secure from external attack and to keep them safe within their borders.
“The bargain that subjects long ago made with their sovereigns was being kept from harm in exchange for allegiance and taxation. When that quid pro quo breaks down, a state loses its coherence, its social fabric disintegrates, and warring factions subvert the social contract that should provide the fundamental foundation of the state.
“Nigeria now appears to have reached the point of no return. Indeed, few parts of Nigeria are today fully safe,” the report which was credited to John Cambell, a former US Ambassador to Nigeria,added.
Why United Kingdom will allow herself to be deceived by the handlers of her affairs in and over Nigeria is bewildering. ISWAP has taken over control of some parts of North East Nigeria and administers that area today. Bokoharam is now in charge of some parts in cahoots with ISWAP. Nigerian Army and Police forces kill over 500 youths of Igbo Youths of South East, all mostly Christians weekly! The leader of agitations for creation of Biafra out Nigeria, Nnamdi Kanu, is under illegal trial in Nigeria, being detained under vehemently inhuman conditions by the State Department of Security in Abuja . The leader of agitation for safety of farm lands in the South West of Nigeria, Sunday Igboho is under arrest in Republic of Benin, under the influence of Nigeria.
Youths protests under ENDSARS was turned into a massacre field in Lagos State of Southern Nigeria ,where over 2000 youths were gunned down by Nigerian Army. Life and property are not safe in Nigeria, Corruption runs in every part and facet of public organizations and government. Ethnic Cleansing of Igbos of the South Eastern Nigeria is ongoing. Biafra should be allowed to go in peace, to enable Nigeria get her acts together .